Limits to Travel
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Blog - January 2009

Myth of travel time saving

The main benefit that is supposed to arise from investment in transport infrastructure is the saving of travel time.   Widening a congested road allows the traffic to flow freely and the time wasted in jams can be avoided.   Because our time is valuable, saving travel time is beneficial, so conventional transport economics assumes.

In 'The Limits to Travel' I pointed out that average travel time had not changed for at least 30 years.   People take the benefits of faster travel in the form of access to more distant destinations.   I wrote this up in more detail for a professional audience in a paper entitled 'The myth of travel time saving' which was published in the peer-reviewed journal Transport Reviews in May 2008.   The editor invited responses, and seven of these were published in the November issue, together with a 'Response to the responses' from me (copies available from me).

I was pleased to find that most respondents were sympathetic, to varying degrees, to my approach.  But some were resistant.  So there is a debate that needs to continue.   If transport policy is to be effective, it needs to be based on an agreed understanding of personal travel behaviour.   We are some way from this at present.

Posted on 10 of January 2009

Leave a comment

Richard348 Says: tomofindy25@aol.com
The methods of traveling has changed with the times. People are traveling more because it is more efficient. People are taking longer vacations, buying international travel health insurance and buying more. Transportation will continue to grow and tourist cities need to grow with it.
Posted on 04 of July 2011
NIcholas Taylor Says: Demand OR supply?
Re your article on Sustainable Mobility in January’s Traffic Technology International, one thing strikes me about road charging. Normally, if there is true demand for something, cutting it off causes real hardship (think of cutting off water, food, air or land) and if you substitute something else then you would expect there to be demand for that something. But if you cut off the supply of travel then for the most part it just stops, or at worst carries on regardless without knowing why (Jeremy Paxman never got a straight answer to his question what is ‘essential’ travel in the present snowscape), and there is no obvious demand for the cash that road charging would generate. This suggests there is no true demand for travel, only supply, or put another way ALL traffic is induced. As you say, road construction (and maybe improvement too) just increases speed, which is then soaked up by increased travel distances and longer-term adjustments to lifestyle and destination choice. One effect of this, apart from pressure on infrastructure, is to put pressure on other modes. If you depend on public transport, walking and to a lesser extent cycling, you will know that the one thing you need more of is time, whose value (under a fixed time 'budget') has been relentlessly inflated by motorists simply pressing a pedal. The absolute effect of congestion charging or fuel price on traffic levels is marginal, because the elasticity of car travel against cost is so low. But unlike running costs, charges reflecting ‘marginal social cost’ rise increasingly steeply with traffic, so effectively setting a ceiling on travel. If applied globally, this should lead to the apparent paradox of a reduction in fuel price, as the more costly sources of petroleum would be taken out of production. This would benefit truly ‘essential’ uses, if any can be said to exist, and it would also tend to decouple economic activity from fuel price, allowing it to be determined by less volatile factors, such as the carrying capacity of the environment. Finally, a morsel for thought. There has been much publicity recently about the ‘crash’ in demand for cars. While admittedly much of this may result from temporarily putting off purchases, it is further evidence of the discretionary nature of travel. It is no coincidence that creating car industries, and making and driving cars, is the most efficient way, in the ‘ecological’ sense, of consuming the supply of petroleum. Perhaps it is also no coincidence that car manufacturers take the prime slots in advertising, and promote largely on features which have nothing to do with function.
Posted on 05 of February 2009